Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 6.950496 8.083974 9.307521 10.722073 12.307811 14.026025 16.023870
2026-01-25 5.204916 6.668739 8.371364 10.481167 13.007267 15.916096 19.499100
2026-02-01 4.121894 5.703858 7.654623 10.202988 13.406831 17.262081 22.208638
2026-02-08 3.362083 4.980000 7.079298 9.947888 13.704225 18.390120 24.603238
2026-02-15 2.761126 4.359534 6.533679 9.628442 13.830843 19.241583 26.622672
2026-02-22 2.411398 4.028508 6.320624 9.699771 14.431316 20.685957 29.420319
2026-03-01 2.114553 3.728918 6.108236 9.732542 14.952558 22.019997 32.099275
2026-03-08 1.878276 3.486902 5.946377 9.807976 15.515057 23.410908 34.885916
2026-03-15 1.661816 3.245780 5.756049 9.814215 15.960985 24.640423 37.478528
2026-03-22 1.532059 3.130439 5.744810 10.079832 16.785952 26.421012 40.886337
2026-03-29 1.405879 3.004020 5.700340 10.282664 17.516522 28.083148 44.172125
2026-04-05 1.267134 2.836326 5.569656 10.332613 18.006657 29.402953 46.999425
2026-04-12 1.084705 2.564433 5.239511 10.037017 17.948215 29.917504 48.690154
2026-04-19 0.936457 2.337252 4.963558 9.806422 17.971562 30.544903 50.557327
2026-04-26 0.803762 2.120996 4.683728 9.542946 17.917852 31.039756 52.227529
2026-05-03 0.691538 1.930065 4.429965 9.301455 17.878648 31.543589 53.913305
2026-05-10 0.587592 1.739770 4.156189 8.999141 17.713060 31.831213 55.262812
2026-05-17 0.533786 1.657587 4.087573 9.066636 18.178293 33.134240 58.220367
2026-05-24 0.482284 1.572509 4.003953 9.097647 18.577058 34.337817 61.050076
2026-05-31 0.439577 1.502563 3.944576 9.169035 19.046664 35.667847 64.112008
2026-06-07 0.396081 1.422916 3.855869 9.174939 19.395306 36.804378 66.889681
2026-06-14 0.374512 1.399971 3.889776 9.426351 20.199276 38.723674 70.978615
2026-06-21 0.350452 1.365904 3.894984 9.618381 20.899460 40.485622 74.851863